A combination of factors led to the Congress-NCP rout, which has been a once-in-atwo-decades phenomenon in Mumbai; the city ousted Congress in 1977, repeated the washout 19 years later in 1996 and did it again 18 years later.
The two important factors would have to be the Modi wave and the anti-incumbency sentiment playing overtime. Congress and NCP candidates have had to bear the cross of the voters' anger against the UPA-II government, if not against themselves. What made the outcome certain was a simultaneous, almost-en-bloc gravitation of these anti-incumbent votes towards NDA.
These twin forces were so strong that it made the potential spoilers entirely irrelevant to the final result. MNS, which helped the Congress-NCP combine get a tennis set-like, 6-0 margin last time, has struggled to retain its own voter base. It played the role of a passive ally to BJP, refusing to field candidates in the BJP seats. But Raj Thackeray's party failed to spoil even cousin Uddhav Thackeray's party in the three seats where Sena candidates were the NDA representatives.
AAP was reduced to a footnote. It, however, has its supporters—in some seats it has approximated MNS levels but it has a long way to go to even become a serious spoiler.
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